掲示板 Forums - Japan Status

Regardless of anyone's opinions of the Japan First Party, they hold 0 seats in the government, and as such, have no ability to enforce any policies.

With a few exceptions, the Liberal Democratic Party has remained the dominant party in Japan, and typically forms government. It would be a major surprise if that changed any time soon.

Bruh I AM NOT even watching shorts 😤💀
These videos doesn't even come from my feed. I am just curious that is this information is true or not...thats why I came here.

Internet has a lot of irrelevent informations, better off living off with books nowadays, less stress lol

I'm pretty sure they meant - "Enjoy reading a nice book instead of worrying about whatever you see online", not that you should switch to reading books to get better information.

Sanseitō is a very new political party, so books specifically about it aren't really a thing. You can find academic papers on the subject, but those aren't always high quality. I know because I've worked on such papers myself (hydrogeology).

To really understand Japanese politics today, you need to have a solid grasp on everything that happened post WW2. You also need a good understanding of socio-economics and general geopolitics.

If you're interested, I'd recommend studying contemporary (post WW2) Japanese history, the end of Japan's economic miracle (Lost decades), and the socio-economic impact of declining birth rates (an ageing work force, more taxpayer money going to pensions, etc.)

It's always better to learn how to think, not just be told what to think :)

PS: Since this section of the forum is for studying Japanese, this convo might be a bit off-topic for here. Just something to keep in mind

Newspapers suffer from the same problem as online articles, shorts and videos. They are designed to get your attention, not provide high quality information. If you pay attention to what you quoted, the key points are these:

"Minor" = They don’t hold real power.
"Proposing" = They’re not passing laws, just talking.
"Can be significant" = Pure speculation. Not is, just can.

As for the seats - they currently hold 3/465 in the House of Representatives (2024 elections)

They are projected to win somewhere between 2–6/248 (upcoming elections, July 20th). The elections are for half of the seats in the House of Councillors (125). They currently hold 2/248 seats (1 of those directly from last elections)

This is just my read on the situation, but the ruling coalition is very stable and is very unlikely to lose majority. Even if they somehow did, Sanseitō is extremely unlikely to be included in the new majority (they don't get along with a lot of the other opposition parties).

As for the Forum, I meant that this is a topic better suited for the "General discussion" section, since this section is about the language specifically. Even if Michael doesn't step in, I doubt he's thrilled about these topics :)

A short, fact-based discussion is probably fine though.

PS: Don't blindly trust everything I say.

Welfare shouldn't really matter to you. If you want to live in Japan with a work visa you need to have a job anyway. And I think that's gonna be the only way you're getting to stay there anyway, realistically, unless you just so happen to be in position to obtain a spousal visa.

But even then, if you're worried about tiny irrelevant fringe parties, you should get ready for the revolution, comrade, since every country in Europe and America has at least one (usually more than one) communist party that gets 13 votes out of 200 million that only like 100 people in the whole country have even heard of. Plus at least one openly fascist party with the same amount of support except for countries like Germany where that's literally illegal (but there you just drop the "openly").
I could tell you anything will happen in any country on earth based on the plans of a "political party" that essentially consists of four dudes in a basement that nobody takes seriously so long as they don't get violent.
If we go looking for it, we can probably find some tiny fringe party in Japan that wants straight up open borders, too. And that won't happen, either.

I don't know what newspaper you are reading but they may dislike Japan, like Japan, want to fear monger about anti-immigration sentiment, push anti-immigration sentiment, try to sensationalise a story to sell copies/generate clicks, or perhaps even just have made an honest mistake overestimating the importance of something. Plenty of reasons they may exaggerate reality, depends on where their bias is at.

If you agree with something you may overstate how big it is to give people confidence in it to gain more support, and if you're against something you may also overstate it so you can rile people up in opposition to it.

But also new parties do not take over in a year or two. It's questionable (I won't try to argue about whether I like or don't like them here, it'd be complicated and I'd prefer not to get deep into political opinions) as to whether the AfD has a shot to get anywhere close to power within the 10-or-so year period you brought up initially, so the idea that a party which is less relevant in Japan now than the AfD was in Germany ten years ago, when afaik Japan is a lot more consistent with who is usually in charge, just seems highly unrealistic to me, regardless of what kind of position the party may have.